Our model projects Memphis Grizzlies 119, Denver Nuggets 112, with the Grizzlies favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 230.5-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 227.6 combined-points average. Grizzlies score 119.7 a game and concede 107.9; Nuggets score 114.8 and concede 114.7.
Grizzlies sit 2nd in the NBA standings, Nuggets sit 10th. Tip-off at FedExForum. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Memphis Grizzlies Denver Nuggets2026-2027 season to 2026-11-05. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Grizzlies by 7.1, total 230.5.
Grizzlies at home: 3–1 SU, 119.7 PPG. Nuggets on the road: 4–2 SU, 114.8 PPG.
Denver Nuggets lead 5-2 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Denver Nuggets won 136-119 on 9 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies |
6 | 1 | 861 | 771 | LWWWW |
| 10 | Denver NuggetsNuggets |
3 | 3 | 680 | 694 | LWWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Thunder's 43-point star closed out the Cavaliers, while New Orleans made Memphis pay in overtime and Portland turned extra possessions into a comeback.
Houston's threes, San Antonio's rebounding, Memphis's passing, and scoreline swings in the ACB and NBL shaped the weekend.