Our model projects Dallas Mavericks 117, Utah Jazz 116, with the Mavericks favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 233.8-point projection runs above the NBA’s 228.8 combined-points average. Mavericks score 113.4 a game and concede 120.1; Jazz score 114.1 and concede 116.1.
Mavericks sit 7th in the NBA standings, Jazz sit 14th. Tip-off at American Airlines Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Dallas Mavericks
Utah Jazz2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Mavericks by 1.0, total 233.8.
Mavericks at home: 0–4 SU, 113.4 PPG. Jazz on the road: 2–1 SU, 114.1 PPG.
Dallas Mavericks lead 5-4 across the last 9 meetings on record. Most recent: Dallas Mavericks won 138-120 on 17 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dallas MavericksMavericks |
4 | 2 | 686 | 671 | WWWLW |
| 14 | Utah JazzJazz |
1 | 4 | 562 | 601 | LLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Chicago's shooting kept the Nuggets honest, while Dallas paired a 132-point win with Kyrie Irving's long-awaited return to the floor.
Minnesota and Barcelona survived one-possession finishes, while Boston, Real Madrid, and Rostock turned their home games into statements of control.