Our model projects Atlanta Hawks 122, Washington Wizards 114, with the Hawks favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 235.8-point projection runs above the NBA’s 228.8 combined-points average. Hawks score 123.4 a game and concede 114.1; Wizards score 115.3 and concede 114.7.
Hawks sit 6th in the NBA standings, Wizards sit 7th. Tip-off at State Farm Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Hawks by 8.4, total 235.8.
Hawks at home: 1–2 SU, 123.4 PPG. Wizards on the road: 2–1 SU, 115.3 PPG.
Atlanta Hawks lead 5-3 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: Atlanta Hawks won 126-96 on 27 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 715 | 687 | WLLLW | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 663 | 658 | WLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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