Our model projects Minnesota Timberwolves 121, Dallas Mavericks 112, with the Timberwolves favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 232.7-point projection runs above the NBA’s 227.6 combined-points average. Timberwolves score 118.2 a game and concede 113.1; Mavericks score 114.3 and concede 115.7.
Timberwolves sit 7th in the NBA standings, Mavericks sit 11th. Tip-off at Target Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Minnesota Timberwolves Dallas Mavericks2026-2027 season to 2026-11-06. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Timberwolves by 9.1, total 232.7.
Timberwolves at home: 2–2 SU, 118.2 PPG. Mavericks on the road: 3–1 SU, 114.3 PPG.
Minnesota Timberwolves lead 6-1 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Minnesota Timberwolves won 124-94 on 31 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Minnesota TimberwolvesTimberwolves |
6 | 3 | 1069 | 968 | WWLWL |
| 11 | Dallas MavericksMavericks |
4 | 4 | 897 | 898 | LLWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Houston's threes, San Antonio's rebounding, Memphis's passing, and scoreline swings in the ACB and NBL shaped the weekend.
Victor Wembanyama delivered 43 points after a Minnesota run, while Houston, Philadelphia and Cleveland each found a different route to control. Memphis matched its best start in franchise history.