Our model projects Memphis Grizzlies 114, Oklahoma City Thunder 110, with the Grizzlies favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 224.1-point projection runs below the NBA’s 228.8 combined-points average. Grizzlies score 117.3 a game and concede 109.0; Thunder score 108.6 and concede 109.3.
Grizzlies sit 1st in the NBA standings, Thunder sit 4th. Tip-off at FedExForum. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Grizzlies by 3.5, total 224.1.
Grizzlies at home: 2–1 SU, 117.3 PPG. Thunder on the road: 1–2 SU, 108.6 PPG.
Oklahoma City Thunder lead 11-0 across the last 11 meetings on record. Most recent: Oklahoma City Thunder won 117-116 on 10 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies |
5 | 0 | 591 | 531 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Oklahoma City ThunderThunder |
4 | 1 | 541 | 523 | LWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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