Our model projects Houston Rockets 118, Golden State Warriors 112, with the Rockets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 230.3-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 227.6 combined-points average. Rockets score 121.1 a game and concede 109.6; Warriors score 115.3 and concede 110.8.
Rockets sit 1st in the NBA standings, Warriors sit 8th. Tip-off at Toyota Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors2026-2027 season to 2026-11-05. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Rockets by 5.9, total 230.3.
Rockets at home: 4–1 SU, 121.1 PPG. Warriors on the road: 3–4 SU, 115.3 PPG.
Golden State Warriors lead 8-6 across the last 14 meetings on record. Most recent: Houston Rockets won 117-116 on 6 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston RocketsRockets |
7 | 1 | 954 | 851 | WWLWW |
| 8 | Golden State WarriorsWarriors |
5 | 3 | 940 | 917 | WWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Houston's threes, San Antonio's rebounding, Memphis's passing, and scoreline swings in the ACB and NBL shaped the weekend.
Victor Wembanyama delivered 43 points after a Minnesota run, while Houston, Philadelphia and Cleveland each found a different route to control. Memphis matched its best start in franchise history.