Our model projects Sacramento Kings 118, Miami Heat 122, with the Heat favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 239.3-point projection runs above the NBA’s 228.3 combined-points average. Kings score 106.4 a game and concede 123.5; Heat score 122.7 and concede 121.9.
Kings sit 15th in the NBA standings, Heat sit 11th. Tip-off at Golden. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Sacramento Kings Miami Heat2026-2027 season to 2026-11-02. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Heat by 3.9, total 239.3.
Kings at home: 0–4 SU, 106.4 PPG. Heat on the road: 2–2 SU, 122.7 PPG.
Sacramento Kings lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Miami Heat won 130-117 on 21 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sacramento KingsKings |
0 | 6 | 656 | 770 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Miami HeatHeat |
2 | 4 | 710 | 729 | WWLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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