Our model projects Indiana Pacers 119, Atlanta Hawks 121, with the Hawks favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 239.8-point projection runs above the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Pacers score 120.4 a game and concede 117.6; Hawks score 123.4 and concede 114.1.
Pacers sit 8th in the NBA standings, Hawks sit 7th. Tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Hawks by 2.2, total 239.8.
Pacers at home: 1–3 SU, 120.4 PPG. Hawks on the road: 5–0 SU, 123.4 PPG.
Atlanta Hawks lead 6-2 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: Atlanta Hawks won 119-117 on 10 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Indiana PacersPacers |
2 | 3 | 575 | 574 | LLWLW |
| 7 | Atlanta HawksHawks |
2 | 3 | 601 | 576 | WLLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.
Los Angeles came back from 18 down behind Dončić’s season-high 52, while Orlando flipped the Knicks game in the fourth and Oklahoma City’s win ended with a serious injury concern.