Our model projects Ferro 82, Penarol 82, with the Penarol favored in this Liga A matchup.
The combined 164.1-point projection runs in line with the Liga A’s 161.9 combined-points average. Ferro score 82.0 a game and concede 85.5; Penarol score 82.2 and concede 74.5.
Ferro sit 13th in the Liga A standings, Penarol sit 2nd. Tip-off at Estadio Héctor Etchart. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga A 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Home and away records are not available yet for this season.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-06. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Penarol by 0.5, total 164.1.
Ferro at home: 1–0 SU, 82.0 PPG.
Ferro lead 6-2 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: Ferro won 84-68 on 3 May 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2 | 4 | 492 | 513 | LWLLW | |
| 2 | 5 | 1 | 493 | 447 | WLWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.