Our model projects Boca Juniors 95, San Martin 84, with the Boca Juniors favored in this Liga A matchup.
The combined 178.6-point projection runs above the Liga A’s 162.2 combined-points average. Boca Juniors score 88.2 a game and concede 85.0; San Martin score 84.8 and concede 95.2.
Boca Juniors sit 8th in the Liga A standings, San Martin sit 18th. Tip-off at Estadio Luis Conde. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga A 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-03. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Boca Juniors by 11.6, total 178.6.
Boca Juniors at home: 2–0 SU, 88.2 PPG. San Martin on the road: 0–4 SU, 84.8 PPG.
Boca Juniors lead 5-2 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Boca Juniors won 101-97 on 1 May 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3 | 3 | 529 | 510 | WWLLL | |
| 18 | 0 | 6 | 509 | 571 | LLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.