Our model projects Portland Trail Blazers 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 111, with the Trail Blazers favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 227.1-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 227.5 combined-points average. Trail Blazers score 119.3 a game and concede 111.3; Thunder score 108.0 and concede 111.5.
Trail Blazers sit 3rd in the NBA standings, Thunder sit 6th. Tip-off at Moda Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder2026-2027 season to 2026-11-04. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Trail Blazers by 5.7, total 227.1.
Trail Blazers at home: 2–1 SU, 119.3 PPG. Thunder on the road: 1–4 SU, 108.0 PPG.
Oklahoma City Thunder lead 7-1 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: Oklahoma City Thunder won 124-95 on 1 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Portland Trail BlazersTrail Blazers |
5 | 1 | 721 | 656 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Oklahoma City ThunderThunder |
5 | 2 | 756 | 754 | WLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Thunder's 43-point star closed out the Cavaliers, while New Orleans made Memphis pay in overtime and Portland turned extra possessions into a comeback.
Oklahoma City and Cleveland meet twice before a Friday Cup slate, Memphis takes a perfect start into a return date with the Thunder, and Boston visits Milwaukee to close the week.