Our model projects Golden State Warriors 119, New Orleans Pelicans 112, with the Warriors favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 230.4-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 227.8 combined-points average. Warriors score 115.3 a game and concede 110.8; Pelicans score 116.0 and concede 114.8.
Warriors sit 10th in the NBA standings, Pelicans sit 11th. Tip-off at Chase Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans2026-2027 season to 2026-11-03. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Warriors by 7.4, total 230.4.
Warriors at home: 4–1 SU, 115.3 PPG. Pelicans on the road: 2–3 SU, 116.0 PPG.
Golden State Warriors lead 6-1 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: New Orleans Pelicans won 113-109 on 25 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Golden State WarriorsWarriors |
3 | 3 | 700 | 692 | WWWWL |
| 11 | New Orleans PelicansPelicans |
2 | 4 | 718 | 707 | WWLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Dončić’s 45 points carried Los Angeles through a late wobble, while Yaxel Lendeborg’s career night gave Golden State a different kind of lift.
Golden State erased an early Lakers lead, Scottie Barnes scored 41 in a loss, and Miami opened Cup play with a 145-point night.