Our model projects Toronto Raptors 116, Memphis Grizzlies 115, with the Raptors favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 231.3-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 227.8 combined-points average. Raptors score 119.6 a game and concede 111.5; Grizzlies score 119.7 and concede 107.9.
Raptors sit 5th in the NBA standings, Grizzlies sit 1st. Tip-off at Scotiabank Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Toronto Raptors Memphis Grizzlies2026-2027 season to 2026-11-03. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Raptors by 1.1, total 231.3.
Raptors at home: 4–2 SU, 119.6 PPG. Grizzlies on the road: 6–0 SU, 119.7 PPG.
The last 4 meetings on record are split 2-2. Most recent: Toronto Raptors won 128-96 on 4 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Toronto RaptorsRaptors |
3 | 2 | 584 | 531 | LLWLW |
| 1 | Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies |
6 | 0 | 727 | 636 | WWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Dončić’s 45 points carried Los Angeles through a late wobble, while Yaxel Lendeborg’s career night gave Golden State a different kind of lift.
Golden State erased an early Lakers lead, Scottie Barnes scored 41 in a loss, and Miami opened Cup play with a 145-point night.