Our model projects Milwaukee Bucks 111, Boston Celtics 124, with the Celtics favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 234.7-point projection runs above the NBA’s 228.3 combined-points average. Bucks score 111.4 a game and concede 123.3; Celtics score 121.9 and concede 108.7.
Bucks sit 13th in the NBA standings, Celtics sit 3rd. Tip-off at Fiserv Forum. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-02. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Celtics by 12.3, total 234.7.
Bucks at home: 1–5 SU, 111.4 PPG. Celtics on the road: 3–1 SU, 121.9 PPG.
Boston Celtics lead 6-1 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Boston Celtics won 133-101 on 4 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 1 | 5 | 678 | 757 | LLWLL | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 604 | 558 | WWWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

Oklahoma City and Cleveland meet twice before a Friday Cup slate, Memphis takes a perfect start into a return date with the Thunder, and Boston visits Milwaukee to close the week.

Victor Wembanyama delivered 43 points after a Minnesota run, while Houston, Philadelphia and Cleveland each found a different route to control. Memphis matched its best start in franchise history.