Our model projects Oklahoma City Thunder 116, Washington Wizards 110, with the Thunder favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 226.0-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 228.3 combined-points average. Thunder score 108.6 a game and concede 109.3; Wizards score 115.3 and concede 114.7.
Thunder sit 7th in the NBA standings, Wizards sit 6th. Tip-off at Paycom Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-01. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Thunder by 6.4, total 226.0.
Thunder at home: 3–2 SU, 108.6 PPG. Wizards on the road: 2–1 SU, 115.3 PPG.
Oklahoma City Thunder lead 4-0 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Oklahoma City Thunder won 132-111 on 21 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 639 | 642 | LLWWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 663 | 658 | WLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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