Our model projects Indiana Pacers 119, Denver Nuggets 117, with the Pacers favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 235.7-point projection runs above the NBA’s 228.8 combined-points average. Pacers score 120.4 a game and concede 117.6; Nuggets score 114.7 and concede 114.6.
Pacers sit 12th in the NBA standings, Nuggets sit 9th. Tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Indiana Pacers Denver Nuggets2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Pacers by 2.3, total 235.7.
Pacers at home: 1–3 SU, 120.4 PPG. Nuggets on the road: 2–2 SU, 114.7 PPG.
Denver Nuggets lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Denver Nuggets won 135-120 on 4 Dec 2025.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Indiana PacersPacers |
2 | 4 | 700 | 719 | LLLWL |
| 9 | Denver NuggetsNuggets |
3 | 2 | 570 | 576 | WWLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Golden State erased an early Lakers lead, Scottie Barnes scored 41 in a loss, and Miami opened Cup play with a 145-point night.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.