Our model projects Golden State Warriors 118, Phoenix Suns 110, with the Warriors favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 227.2-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Warriors score 113.1 a game and concede 111.9; Suns score 108.4 and concede 117.0.
Warriors sit 10th in the NBA standings, Suns sit 11th. Tip-off at Chase Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Warriors by 7.8, total 227.2.
Warriors at home: 3–1 SU, 113.1 PPG. Suns on the road: 0–4 SU, 108.4 PPG.
The last 10 meetings on record are split 5-5. Most recent: Phoenix Suns won 131-122 on 25 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Golden State WarriorsWarriors |
2 | 3 | 588 | 597 | WWLLL |
| 11 | Phoenix SunsSuns |
1 | 2 | 328 | 371 | LWLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.
The NBA Cup begins Friday, with Golden State at Denver, Detroit at New York and a weekend test for the Thunder among the week's most useful early reads.