Our model projects Memphis Grizzlies 121, New Orleans Pelicans 111, with the Grizzlies favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 232.4-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Grizzlies score 117.3 a game and concede 109.0; Pelicans score 116.6 and concede 117.9.
Grizzlies sit 3rd in the NBA standings, Pelicans sit 14th. Tip-off at FedExForum. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Grizzlies by 9.8, total 232.4.
Grizzlies at home: 2–1 SU, 117.3 PPG. Pelicans on the road: 2–3 SU, 116.6 PPG.
Memphis Grizzlies lead 6-2 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: New Orleans Pelicans won 114-106 on 31 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies |
4 | 0 | 467 | 428 | WWWWW |
| 14 | New Orleans PelicansPelicans |
0 | 4 | 465 | 488 | WLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Hawks recovered from Cleveland's fast start, the Pelicans found their first win through Jeremiah Fears, and Memphis closed a 5-0 start in Portland.
Ebuka Okorie's late layup seals Detroit's preseason opener, Jaylen Brown scores 22 in his Sixers debut, and the first four games bring very different early tests.