Our model projects New Zealand Breakers 95, Brisbane Bullets 94, with the New Zealand Breakers favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 189.1-point projection runs in line with the NBL’s 189.4 combined-points average. New Zealand Breakers score 90.5 a game and concede 90.9; Bullets score 95.2 and concede 97.4.
New Zealand Breakers sit 9th in the NBL standings, Bullets sit 4th. Tip-off at Spark Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
New Zealand BreakersHome and away records are not available yet for this season.
Brisbane BulletsHome and away records are not available yet for this season.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-06. PPG = points per game.
The model line: New Zealand Breakers by 1.7, total 189.1.
Brisbane Bullets lead 7-2 across the last 9 meetings on record. Most recent: Brisbane Bullets won 88-85 on 22 Sep 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | New Zealand BreakersNew Zealand Breakers |
4 | 7 | 996 | 1000 | LLLLW |
| 4 | Brisbane BulletsBullets |
6 | 5 | 1047 | 1071 | WWLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The ACB supplied the widest gap, Le Mans took the narrowest win, and the WNBA and NBL gave the weekend very different finishes.
A 45-game weekend turned on three-point separation, rebounding control, and late possessions, with ACB, Lega A, BBL, and NBL results supplying the detail.