Our model projects Adelaide 102, Illawarra Hawks 93, with the Adelaide favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 194.5-point projection runs above the NBL’s 188.4 combined-points average. Adelaide score 91.2 a game and concede 93.5; Hawks score 95.2 and concede 105.1.
Adelaide sit 5th in the NBL standings, Hawks sit 10th. Tip-off at Adelaide Entertainment Centre. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
AdelaideHome and away records are not available yet for this season.
Illawarra Hawks2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Adelaide by 8.9, total 194.5.
Hawks on the road: 1–4 SU, 95.2 PPG.
Adelaide lead 6-2 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: Illawarra Hawks won 114-92 on 2 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AdelaideAdelaide |
5 | 5 | 912 | 935 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Illawarra HawksHawks |
2 | 8 | 952 | 1051 | LLWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Three NBA preseason fixtures share the window with EuroLeague openers, an early NBL test, and a busy Sunday across Spain, Germany, and Italy.
An 18-game weekend moved from New York's three-point avalanche to Sydney's controlled home win, with Atlanta, Adelaide, Bayern, and Las Vegas adding their own answers.