Our model projects South East Melbourne 104, Illawarra Hawks 94, with the South East Melbourne favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 197.9-point projection runs above the NBL’s 188.7 combined-points average. South East Melbourne score 96.9 a game and concede 94.3; Hawks score 96.1 and concede 104.5.
South East Melbourne sit 8th in the NBL standings, Hawks sit 10th. Tip-off at John Cain Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
South East Melbourne Illawarra Hawks2026-2027 season to 2026-11-04. PPG = points per game.
The model line: South East Melbourne by 9.3, total 197.9.
South East Melbourne at home: 3–3 SU, 96.9 PPG. Hawks on the road: 2–4 SU, 96.1 PPG.
South East Melbourne lead 6-4 across the last 10 meetings on record. Most recent: South East Melbourne won 113-96 on 4 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | South East MelbourneSouth East Melbourne |
4 | 6 | 969 | 943 | LWWLL |
| 10 | Illawarra HawksHawks |
3 | 8 | 1057 | 1149 | WLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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