Our model projects Sydney 99, South East Melbourne 92, with the Sydney favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 190.8-point projection runs in line with the NBL’s 189.2 combined-points average. Sydney score 97.9 a game and concede 88.1; South East Melbourne score 97.8 and concede 93.9.
Sydney sit 1st in the NBL standings, South East Melbourne sit 7th. Tip-off at Qudos Bank Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
SydneyHome and away records are not available yet for this season.
South East Melbourne2026-2027 season to 2026-11-01. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Sydney by 7.4, total 190.8.
South East Melbourne on the road: 1–3 SU, 97.8 PPG.
Sydney lead 4-2 across the last 6 meetings on record. Most recent: Sydney won 114-88 on 8 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SydneySydney |
7 | 3 | 979 | 881 | WWLWW |
| 7 | South East MelbourneSouth East Melbourne |
4 | 5 | 880 | 845 | LWWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The ACB supplied the widest gap, Le Mans took the narrowest win, and the WNBA and NBL gave the weekend very different finishes.
Six NBA watchpoints lead the week, with two EuroLeague games, a EuroCup road challenge, the Perth-Sydney matchup and an Istanbul derby extending the schedule.