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Our model projects Olympiacos 88, Real Madrid 81, with the Olympiacos favored in this EuroLeague matchup.
The combined 168.8-point projection runs in line with the EuroLeague’s 170.2 combined-points average. Olympiacos score 86.0 a game and concede 81.5; Real Madrid score 84.2 and concede 82.1.
Game 1 of the Final series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Telekom Center Athens. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from EuroLeague 2024 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Olympiacos by 6.8, total 168.8.
Olympiacos at home: 16–5 SU, 86.0 PPG. Real Madrid on the road: 7–12 SU, 84.2 PPG.
Olympiacos 5 – 1 Real Madrid across the last 6 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 10 | 2941 | 2770 | WLWLW | |
| 7 | 20 | 14 | 2870 | 2797 | WLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

The continental bracket reaches its semifinal stage with Monaco-Olympiacos, Hapoel Tel Aviv-Real Madrid, Zalgiris-Fenerbahce, and Panathinaikos-Valencia all decided across Tuesday and Wednesday.

Eight games on Saturday and Sunday close the Liga ACB regular season. Real Madrid lead 26-3 at the top of the table, and the playoff seeding for spots two through eight is still moving.