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Our model projects San Antonio Spurs 119, Minnesota Timberwolves 114, with the Spurs favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 233.3-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 233.9 combined-points average. Spurs score 119.6 a game and concede 110.9; Timberwolves score 117.6 and concede 114.5.
Game 3 of the Quarter-finals series; the series is tied 1–1. Tip-off at Frost Bank Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Spurs by 4.9, total 233.3.
Spurs at home: 36–9 SU, 119.6 PPG. Timberwolves on the road: 25–23 SU, 117.6 PPG.
San Antonio Spurs 2 – 3 Minnesota Timberwolves across the last 5 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 62 | 20 | 9826 | 9145 | WWWLW | |
| 6 | 49 | 33 | 9676 | 9401 | WLWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.