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NBA · May 10, 2026 · Target CenterMinnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Minnesota Timberwolves logo
Home · Balanced unit
VS · Sun May 10 · 23:30 UTC
,
Away · Defence-first, scoring questions
San Antonio Spurs logo
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Our model projects Minnesota Timberwolves 117, San Antonio Spurs 116, with the Timberwolves favored in this NBA matchup. Stephon Castle and Victor Wembanyama lead the prop board.

The combined 233.3-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 233.9 combined-points average. Timberwolves score 117.6 a game and concede 114.5; Spurs score 119.6 and concede 110.9.

Game 4 of the Quarter-finals series; Spurs lead 2–1. Tip-off at Target Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Minnesota Timberwolves -0.3
Coin-flip · 51% win probability
Projected score
116.8 – 116.5
Minnesota Timberwolves · San Antonio Spurs
Projected total
233.3
Combined points
Win probability
51%
49%
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves

Balanced unit
Last meetingsLLWLW
Record49–33 (6 in group)
PPG for / against117.6 / 114.5
Win % overall58%
Home win %64%
Away win %52%
OFF: Average DEF: Strong Solid at home Balanced

San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs

Defence-first, scoring questions
Last meetingsWWLWL
Record62–20 (2 in group)
PPG for / against119.6 / 110.9
Win % overall76%
Home win %80%
Away win %73%
OFF: Strong DEF: Elite Fortress Balanced

Odds & markets

3-Way result · Home / Draw / Away

BookmakerMinnesota TimberwolvesDrawSan Antonio Spurs
1xBet2.7416.501.58
Marathonbet2.6516.001.53
Stake2.5711.251.57

Total points · Over / Under 216.5

Asian handicap · 1.5 pts

BookmakerMinnesota Timberwolves -1.5San Antonio Spurs +1.5
bet3652.651.58
1xBet2.771.59
Marathonbet2.631.56
10bet2.551.57
Stake2.521.62

Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.

Player props · best lines across the book

Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.

PlayerMarketLineBest OverBest Under
Terrence Shannon Jr.Pts + Ast10.51.91 Stake1.89 bet365
Stephon CastlePts + Ast22.51.82 Stake1.93 Stake
Victor WembanyamaPts + Ast30.51.95 Stake1.83 bet365
Ayo DosunmuPts + Ast15.51.75 Stake2.00 Stake
Naz ReidPts + Ast12.51.83 bet3652.20 Stake
De'Aaron FoxPts + Ast22.51.98 Stake1.86 bet365
Julius RandlePts + Ast22.51.98 Stake1.78 Stake
Rudy GobertPts + Ast10.52.00 bet3651.80 Stake
Dylan HarperPts + Ast13.51.95 bet3651.83 bet365
Julian ChampagniePts + Ast10.51.98 Stake1.89 bet365
Devin VassellPts + Ast14.51.89 bet3651.90 Stake
Keldon JohnsonPts + Ast10.51.95 bet3651.85 Stake

Pre-match angle

The model line: Timberwolves by 0.3, total 233.3.

Timberwolves at home: 29–16 SU, 117.6 PPG. Spurs on the road: 32–12 SU, 119.6 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Minnesota Timberwolves 3 – 3 San Antonio Spurs across the last 6 meetings.

May 09, 2026 Minnesota Timberwolves 108 vs 115 San Antonio Spurs NBA
May 07, 2026 San Antonio Spurs 133 vs 95 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
May 05, 2026 San Antonio Spurs 102 vs 104 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Jan 18, 2026 San Antonio Spurs 126 vs 123 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Jan 12, 2026 Minnesota Timberwolves 104 vs 103 San Antonio Spurs NBA
Dec 01, 2025 Minnesota Timberwolves 125 vs 112 San Antonio Spurs NBA

League standings snapshot · NBA 2025-2026

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
6
Minnesota Timberwolves logoMinnesota Timberwolves
49 33 9676 9401 LWWLL
2
San Antonio Spurs logoSan Antonio Spurs
62 20 9826 9145 WWLWW

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs tip-off?
Tip-off is Sun May 10 · 23:30 UTC at Target Center. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs?
Based on the 2025-2026 season data we hold: Minnesota Timberwolves are profiled as balanced unit (58% win rate) and San Antonio Spurs as defence-first, scoring questions (76%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.

Read more

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