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Our model projects Cleveland Cavaliers 116, Detroit Pistons 116, with the Cavaliers favored in this NBA matchup. Jalen Duren and Jaylon Tyson lead the prop board.
The combined 231.7-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 233.9 combined-points average. Cavaliers score 118.7 a game and concede 115.3; Pistons score 116.5 and concede 108.9.
Game 3 of the Quarter-finals series; Pistons lead 2–0. Tip-off at Rocket Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Cleveland Cavaliers | Draw | Detroit Pistons |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | 15.50 | 2.76 | |
| 1.53 | 15.25 | 2.67 | |
| 1.57 | 11.00 | 2.57 |
| Bookmaker | Over 211.5 | Under 211.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | 2.00 | |
| 1.86 | 1.97 | |
| 1.95 | 1.97 | |
| 1.87 | 1.89 | |
| 1.77 | 1.93 | |
| 1.88 | 1.93 |
| Bookmaker | Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 | Detroit Pistons +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | 2.72 | |
| 1.64 | , | |
| 1.58 | 2.56 | |
| 1.55 | 2.57 | |
| 1.60 | 2.55 | |
| 1.62 | 2.55 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | Pts + Ast | 28.5 | 1.80 Stake | 1.95 Stake |
| Cade Cunningham | Pts + Ast | 35.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.95 Stake |
| Jalen Duren | Pts + Ast | 15.5 | 1.80 Stake | 2.00 bet365 |
| Tobias Harris | Pts + Ast | 19.5 | 1.93 Stake | 1.89 bet365 |
| Jaylon Tyson | Pts + Ast | 9.5 | 1.88 Stake | 1.90 bet365 |
| Daniss Jenkins | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.80 bet365 | 2.00 bet365 |
| Dean Wade | Pts + Ast | 6.5 | 2.05 bet365 | 1.75 Stake |
| Jarrett Allen | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.90 Stake | 1.86 bet365 |
| Evan Mobley | Pts + Ast | 19.5 | 2.00 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| James Harden | Pts + Ast | 25.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 2.10 Stake |
| Ausar Thompson | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.80 Stake | 2.00 bet365 |
| Duncan Robinson | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.87 Stake | 2.00 bet365 |
The model line: Cavaliers by 0.3, total 231.7.
Cavaliers at home: 31–15 SU, 118.7 PPG. Pistons on the road: 30–17 SU, 116.5 PPG.
Cleveland Cavaliers 3 – 3 Detroit Pistons across the last 6 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 52 | 30 | 9801 | 9464 | LWWLL | |
| 1 | 60 | 22 | 9657 | 8988 | WWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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