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Our model projects Las Vegas Aces W 88, Connecticut Sun W 78, with the Aces W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 166.0-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Aces W score 85.2 a game and concede 81.1; Sun W score 75.9 and concede 85.8.
Aces W sit 2nd in the WNBA standings, Sun W sit 5th. Tip-off at Michelob Ultra Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Aces W by 10.0, total 166.0.
Aces W at home: 25–6 SU, 85.2 PPG. Sun W on the road: 5–19 SU, 75.9 PPG.
Las Vegas Aces W 2 – 0 Connecticut Sun W across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 3680 | 3552 | LWWWW | |
| 5 | 11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | LLWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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