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WNBA · Jul 08, 2026 · Mohegan Sun ArenaConnecticut Sun W vs Minnesota Lynx W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Connecticut Sun W logo
Home · Defence-first, scoring questions
VS · Wed Jul 08 · 23:30 UTC
,
Away · Balanced unit
Minnesota Lynx W logo
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Connecticut Sun W vs Minnesota Lynx W prediction

Our model projects Connecticut Sun W 81, Minnesota Lynx W 78, with the Sun W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 159.3-point projection runs in line with the WNBA’s 162.6 combined-points average. Sun W score 80.4 a game and concede 74.5; Lynx W score 82.4 and concede 77.2.

Sun W sit 2nd in the WNBA standings, Lynx W sit 1st. Tip-off at Mohegan Sun Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Connecticut Sun W -3.3
Coin-flip · 58% win probability
Projected score
81.3 – 78.0
Connecticut Sun W · Minnesota Lynx W
Projected total
159.3
Combined points
Win probability
58%
42%
Connecticut Sun W vs Minnesota Lynx W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Connecticut Sun W logo Connecticut Sun W

Defence-first, scoring questions
Last meetingsno recent
Record28–12 (2 in group)
PPG for / against80.4 / 74.5
Win % overall68%
Home win %71%
Away win %65%
OFF: Average DEF: Elite Solid at home Balanced

Minnesota Lynx W logo Minnesota Lynx W

Balanced unit
Last meetingsno recent
Record30–10 (1 in group)
PPG for / against82.4 / 77.2
Win % overall72%
Home win %78%
Away win %65%
OFF: Average DEF: Strong Fortress Balanced

Pre-match angle

The model line: Sun W by 3.3, total 159.3.

Sun W at home: 17–7 SU, 80.4 PPG. Lynx W on the road: 17–9 SU, 82.4 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

No prior meetings on record from the past seasons covered.

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
2
Connecticut Sun W logoConnecticut Sun W
28 12 3204 2944 LW
1
Minnesota Lynx W logoMinnesota Lynx W
30 10 3279 3024 L

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Connecticut Sun W vs Minnesota Lynx W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Connecticut Sun W vs Minnesota Lynx W tip-off?
Tip-off is Wed Jul 08 · 23:30 UTC at Mohegan Sun Arena. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Connecticut Sun W vs Minnesota Lynx W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Connecticut Sun W are profiled as defence-first, scoring questions (68% win rate) and Minnesota Lynx W as balanced unit (72%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
We don't have prior meetings on file in the seasons we cover.

Read more

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