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Our model projects Connecticut Sun W 82, Los Angeles Sparks W 87, with the Sparks W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 169.7-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Sun W score 75.9 a game and concede 85.8; Sparks W score 85.6 and concede 88.1.
Sun W sit 5th in the WNBA standings, Sparks W sit 6th. Tip-off at Mohegan Sun Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Sparks W by 4.7, total 169.7.
Sun W at home: 7–15 SU, 75.9 PPG. Sparks W on the road: 13–10 SU, 85.6 PPG.
Connecticut Sun W 0 – 3 Los Angeles Sparks W across the last 3 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | LLWLL | |
| 6 | 21 | 23 | 3769 | 3882 | LLWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.