Our model projects Penarol 86, Aguada 76, with the Penarol favored in this Liga Uruguaya matchup.
The combined 161.9-point projection runs below the Liga Uruguaya’s 165.9 combined-points average. Penarol score 93.3 a game and concede 76.3; Aguada score 77.0 and concede 73.0.
Penarol sit 4th in the Liga Uruguaya standings, Aguada sit 9th. Tip-off at Palacio Penarol. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga Uruguaya 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Home and away records are not available yet for this season.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-05. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Penarol by 9.9, total 161.9.
Aguada on the road: 2–1 SU, 77.0 PPG.
Penarol lead 7-6 across the last 13 meetings on record. Most recent: Penarol won 107-92 on 23 Jun 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 280 | 229 | WWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 308 | 292 | WLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.