Our model projects Penarol 90, Defensor 79, with the Penarol favored in this Liga Uruguaya matchup.
The combined 168.3-point projection runs in line with the Liga Uruguaya’s 167.6 combined-points average. Penarol score 96.0 a game and concede 77.5; Defensor score 82.5 and concede 76.5.
Penarol sit 5th in the Liga Uruguaya standings, Defensor sit 8th. Tip-off at Palacio Penarol. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga Uruguaya 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
PenarolHome and away records are not available yet for this season.
Defensor2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Penarol by 11.1, total 168.3.
Defensor on the road: 0–1 SU, 82.5 PPG.
Penarol lead 11-4 across the last 15 meetings on record. Most recent: Penarol won 93-81 on 27 May 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | PenarolPenarol |
2 | 0 | 192 | 155 | WW |
| 8 | DefensorDefensor |
1 | 1 | 165 | 153 | LW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.