Our model projects Bigua 95, Nacional 90, with the Bigua favored in this Liga Uruguaya matchup.
The combined 184.6-point projection runs above the Liga Uruguaya’s 166.3 combined-points average. Bigua score 93.5 a game and concede 83.3; Nacional score 93.7 and concede 94.7.
Bigua sit 1st in the Liga Uruguaya standings, Nacional sit 9th. Tip-off at Arena Bigua. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga Uruguaya 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-03. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Bigua by 4.6, total 184.6.
Bigua at home: 3–0 SU, 93.5 PPG. Nacional on the road: 1–0 SU, 93.7 PPG.
Nacional lead 7-0 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Nacional won 100-78 on 11 May 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 0 | 374 | 333 | WWWW | |
| 9 | 1 | 2 | 281 | 284 | LWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.