Our model projects NLEX Road Warriors 114, Phoenix Fuelmasters 97, with the NLEX Road Warriors favored in this PBA Governors Cup matchup.
The combined 210.4-point projection runs below the PBA Governors Cup’s 216.6 combined-points average. NLEX Road Warriors score 116.8 a game and concede 101.4; Fuelmasters score 97.0 and concede 101.5.
Game 3 of the Quarter-finals series; NLEX Road Warriors lead 2–0. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from PBA Governors Cup 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2025 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: NLEX Road Warriors by 17.0, total 210.4.
NLEX Road Warriors at home: 8–0 SU, 116.8 PPG. Fuelmasters on the road: 2–4 SU, 97.0 PPG.
NLEX Road Warriors lead 5-0 across the last 5 meetings on record. Most recent: NLEX Road Warriors won 124-117 on 28 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 3 | 1422 | 1226 | WWLWW | |
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 975 | 1020 | LLLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.