Our model projects San Miguel Beermen 110, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 103, with the San Miguel Beermen favored in this PBA Governors Cup matchup.
The combined 212.4-point projection runs below the PBA Governors Cup’s 216.6 combined-points average. San Miguel Beermen score 121.3 a game and concede 108.6; Barangay Ginebra San Miguel score 96.6 and concede 94.4.
Game 2 of the Quarter-finals series; Barangay Ginebra San Miguel lead 1–0. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from PBA Governors Cup 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
San Miguel Beermen Barangay Ginebra San Miguel2025 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
| Bookmaker | San Miguel Beermen | Draw | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.67 | 15.50 | 2.27 |
 Marathonbet | 1.67 | 15.75 | 2.27 |
 Stake | 1.87 | 11.00 | 1.93 |
| Bookmaker | Over 210.5 | Under 210.5 |
|---|---|---|
 bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
 Rainbet | 1.90 | 1.71 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 1.68 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.81 |
| Stake | 1.90 | 1.78 |
| Bookmaker | San Miguel Beermen -1.5 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | - | 2.55 |
| Rainbet | 1.56 | 2.34 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 2.26 |
| Stake | 1.90 | 1.95 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
The model line: San Miguel Beermen by 6.6, total 212.4.
San Miguel Beermen at home: 5–0 SU, 121.3 PPG. Barangay Ginebra San Miguel on the road: 2–2 SU, 96.6 PPG.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel lead 9-4 across the last 13 meetings on record. Most recent: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel won 104-95 on 27 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | San Miguel BeermenSan Miguel Beermen |
9 | 3 | 1456 | 1303 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Barangay Ginebra San MiguelBarangay Ginebra San Miguel |
5 | 5 | 966 | 944 | WWWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.