Our model projects Dallas Mavericks 119, Indiana Pacers 115, with the Mavericks favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 233.4-point projection runs above the NBA’s 227.8 combined-points average. Mavericks score 114.3 a game and concede 115.7; Pacers score 115.4 and concede 117.3.
Mavericks sit 6th in the NBA standings, Pacers sit 12th. Tip-off at American Airlines Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Dallas Mavericks Indiana Pacers2026-2027 season to 2026-11-03. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Mavericks by 4.0, total 233.4.
Mavericks at home: 2–4 SU, 114.3 PPG. Pacers on the road: 2–3 SU, 115.4 PPG.
Dallas Mavericks lead 3-2 across the last 5 meetings on record. Most recent: Dallas Mavericks won 121-105 on 23 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dallas MavericksMavericks |
4 | 2 | 686 | 671 | WWWLW |
| 12 | Indiana PacersPacers |
2 | 5 | 790 | 817 | LLLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Chicago's shooting kept the Nuggets honest, while Dallas paired a 132-point win with Kyrie Irving's long-awaited return to the floor.
Minnesota and Barcelona survived one-possession finishes, while Boston, Real Madrid, and Rostock turned their home games into statements of control.