Our model projects Atlanta Hawks 118, Los Angeles Lakers 114, with the Hawks favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 232.4-point projection runs above the NBA’s 227.8 combined-points average. Hawks score 118.9 a game and concede 116.2; Lakers score 113.2 and concede 112.6.
Hawks sit 7th in the NBA standings, Lakers sit 5th. Tip-off at State Farm Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Lakers2026-2027 season to 2026-11-03. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Hawks by 4.0, total 232.4.
Hawks at home: 2–3 SU, 118.9 PPG. Lakers on the road: 3–2 SU, 113.2 PPG.
The last 4 meetings on record are split 2-2. Most recent: Los Angeles Lakers won 141-116 on 14 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlanta HawksHawks |
3 | 4 | 814 | 808 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Los Angeles LakersLakers |
4 | 2 | 711 | 680 | WLWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Hawks recovered from Cleveland's fast start, the Pelicans found their first win through Jeremiah Fears, and Memphis closed a 5-0 start in Portland.
Minnesota and Barcelona survived one-possession finishes, while Boston, Real Madrid, and Rostock turned their home games into statements of control.