Our model projects Phoenix Suns 111, Houston Rockets 121, with the Rockets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 231.5-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 228.3 combined-points average. Suns score 108.4 a game and concede 117.0; Rockets score 121.5 and concede 112.0.
Suns sit 12th in the NBA standings, Rockets sit 2nd. Tip-off at Mortgage Matchup Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-01. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Rockets by 10.1, total 231.5.
Suns at home: 2–1 SU, 108.4 PPG. Rockets on the road: 3–0 SU, 121.5 PPG.
Houston Rockets lead 7-0 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Houston Rockets won 119-105 on 8 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1 | 3 | 448 | 498 | LLWLL | |
| 2 | 6 | 1 | 845 | 758 | WLWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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