Our model projects New Orleans Pelicans 116, Minnesota Timberwolves 118, with the Timberwolves favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 233.7-point projection runs above the NBA’s 228.8 combined-points average. Pelicans score 116.6 a game and concede 117.9; Timberwolves score 117.8 and concede 111.3.
Pelicans sit 12th in the NBA standings, Timberwolves sit 6th. Tip-off at Smoothie King Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
New Orleans Pelicans Minnesota Timberwolves2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Timberwolves by 2.7, total 233.7.
Pelicans at home: 1–1 SU, 116.6 PPG. Timberwolves on the road: 5–2 SU, 117.8 PPG.
Minnesota Timberwolves lead 5-2 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Minnesota Timberwolves won 132-126 on 13 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | New Orleans PelicansPelicans |
1 | 4 | 597 | 608 | WLLLL |
| 6 | Minnesota TimberwolvesTimberwolves |
4 | 2 | 729 | 640 | WLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Hawks recovered from Cleveland's fast start, the Pelicans found their first win through Jeremiah Fears, and Memphis closed a 5-0 start in Portland.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.