Our model projects Minnesota Timberwolves 123, Milwaukee Bucks 111, with the Timberwolves favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 234.7-point projection runs above the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Timberwolves score 117.8 a game and concede 111.3; Bucks score 113.0 and concede 123.3.
Timberwolves sit 6th in the NBA standings, Bucks sit 13th. Tip-off at Target Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Minnesota Timberwolves Milwaukee Bucks2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Timberwolves by 12.1, total 234.7.
Timberwolves at home: 1–1 SU, 117.8 PPG. Bucks on the road: 2–3 SU, 113.0 PPG.
Minnesota Timberwolves lead 3-2 across the last 5 meetings on record. Most recent: Minnesota Timberwolves won 116-97 on 6 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Minnesota TimberwolvesTimberwolves |
3 | 2 | 602 | 539 | LLWWW |
| 13 | Milwaukee BucksBucks |
1 | 4 | 567 | 621 | LWLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.
The 2026-27 NBA season begins Tuesday with a tripleheader, then puts fresh star pairings and Western Conference contenders under the first regular-season spotlight.