Our model projects Dallas Mavericks 118, Sacramento Kings 113, with the Mavericks favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 230.7-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Mavericks score 113.4 a game and concede 120.1; Kings score 104.3 and concede 119.6.
Mavericks sit 8th in the NBA standings, Kings sit 15th. Tip-off at American Airlines Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Dallas Mavericks Sacramento Kings2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Mavericks by 5.5, total 230.7.
Mavericks at home: 0–4 SU, 113.4 PPG. Kings on the road: 0–4 SU, 104.3 PPG.
Sacramento Kings lead 5-2 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Sacramento Kings won 130-121 on 27 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dallas MavericksMavericks |
3 | 2 | 570 | 560 | WWLWL |
| 15 | Sacramento KingsKings |
0 | 4 | 431 | 502 | LLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Chicago's shooting kept the Nuggets honest, while Dallas paired a 132-point win with Kyrie Irving's long-awaited return to the floor.
Minnesota and Barcelona survived one-possession finishes, while Boston, Real Madrid, and Rostock turned their home games into statements of control.