Our model projects Houston Rockets 118, Oklahoma City Thunder 110, with the Rockets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 227.7-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Rockets score 121.5 a game and concede 112.0; Thunder score 108.6 and concede 109.3.
Rockets sit 1st in the NBA standings, Thunder sit 5th. Tip-off at Toyota Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Houston Rockets Oklahoma City Thunder2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Rockets by 8.5, total 227.7.
Rockets at home: 2–1 SU, 121.5 PPG. Thunder on the road: 1–2 SU, 108.6 PPG.
Houston Rockets lead 5-4 across the last 9 meetings on record. Most recent: Houston Rockets won 116-89 on 16 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston RocketsRockets |
5 | 0 | 615 | 544 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Oklahoma City ThunderThunder |
4 | 1 | 541 | 523 | LWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.
The NBA Cup begins Friday, with Golden State at Denver, Detroit at New York and a weekend test for the Thunder among the week's most useful early reads.