Our model projects Golden State Warriors 115, Los Angeles Lakers 113, with the Warriors favored in this NBA matchup. Stephen Curry and Luka Doncic lead the prop board.
The combined 228.3-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Warriors score 113.1 a game and concede 111.9; Lakers score 114.8 and concede 113.0.
Warriors sit 10th in the NBA standings, Lakers sit 4th. Tip-off at Chase Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
| Bookmaker | Golden State Warriors | Draw | Los Angeles Lakers |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.29 | 16.50 | 1.78 |
 Marathonbet | 2.22 | 16.00 | 1.73 |
 Stake | 2.20 | 11.50 | 1.75 |
| Bookmaker | Golden State Warriors -1.5 | Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
 Rainbet | 2.32 | 1.79 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 1.78 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 1.78 |
| Stake | 2.30 | 1.80 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | Pts + Ast | 28.5 | 1.80 Stake | 1.88 Stake |
| Luka Doncic | Pts + Ast | 41.5 | 1.88 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
| Brandin Podziemski | Pts + Ast | 19.5 | 1.83 Stake | 1.85 Stake |
| Draymond Green | Pts + Ast | 11.5 | 1.75 Stake | 1.93 Stake |
| De'Anthony Melton | Pts + Ast | 11.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Gui Santos | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.90 Stake |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | Pts + Ast | 24.5 | 1.85 Stake | 1.82 Stake |
| Collin Sexton | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.85 Stake | 1.82 Stake |
| Austin Reaves | Pts + Ast | 26.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.88 Stake |
The model line: Warriors by 2.5, total 228.3.
Warriors at home: 3–1 SU, 113.1 PPG. Lakers on the road: 2–1 SU, 114.8 PPG.
Los Angeles Lakers lead 8-7 across the last 15 meetings on record. Most recent: Los Angeles Lakers won 127-105 on 22 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Golden State WarriorsWarriors |
2 | 3 | 588 | 597 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Los Angeles LakersLakers |
4 | 1 | 616 | 568 | WLWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Stephen Curry scored 44 in the Warriors' win, Nikola Jokić reached 200 career triple-doubles, and Houston and Philadelphia found different ways to close on the road.
The NBA Cup begins Friday, with Golden State at Denver, Detroit at New York and a weekend test for the Thunder among the week's most useful early reads.