Our model projects Caxias do Sul 77, Pato 76, with the Caxias do Sul favored in this NBB matchup.
The combined 152.5-point projection runs in line with the NBB’s 154.8 combined-points average. Caxias do Sul score 64.2 a game and concede 80.4; Pato score 74.0 and concede 82.5.
Caxias do Sul sit 17th in the NBB standings, Pato sit 16th. Tip-off at Ginasio do Sesi. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBB 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Caxias do Sul Pato2026-2027 season to 2026-11-05. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Caxias do Sul by 1.1, total 152.5.
Caxias do Sul at home: 0–2 SU, 64.2 PPG. Pato on the road: 0–2 SU, 74.0 PPG.
Caxias do Sul lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Caxias do Sul won 91-85 (OT) on 9 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Caxias do SulCaxias do Sul |
0 | 5 | 321 | 402 | LLLLL |
| 16 | PatoPato |
1 | 3 | 296 | 330 | LLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.