Our model projects Bauru 72, Minas 83, with the Minas favored in this NBB matchup.
The combined 154.5-point projection runs in line with the NBB’s 155.6 combined-points average. Bauru score 75.3 a game and concede 76.0; Minas score 88.0 and concede 65.8.
Bauru sit 6th in the NBB standings, Minas sit 1st. Tip-off at Ginasio Panela de Pressao. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBB 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Minas by 11.3, total 154.5.
Bauru at home: 1–1 SU, 75.3 PPG. Minas on the road: 2–0 SU, 88.0 PPG.
Minas lead 6-1 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Bauru won 105-90 on 10 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 228 | LWW | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 | 352 | 263 | WWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.