Our model projects San Pablo Burgos 92, Valencia 91, with the San Pablo Burgos favored in this Liga ACB matchup.
The combined 183.1-point projection runs in line with the Liga ACB’s 186.0 combined-points average. San Pablo Burgos score 89.8 a game and concede 87.0; Valencia score 96.6 and concede 88.8.
San Pablo Burgos sit 13th in the Liga ACB standings, Valencia sit 5th. Tip-off at Coliseum Burgos. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga ACB 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-01. PPG = points per game.
The model line: San Pablo Burgos by 0.5, total 183.1.
San Pablo Burgos at home: 0–2 SU, 89.8 PPG. Valencia on the road: 1–1 SU, 96.6 PPG.
Valencia lead 2-0 across the last 2 meetings on record. Most recent: Valencia won 79-74 on 29 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2 | 3 | 449 | 435 | WLLWL | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 483 | 444 | WWLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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