Our model projects Bursaspor 82, Fenerbahce 87, with the Fenerbahce favored in this Super Ligi matchup.
The combined 168.6-point projection runs in line with the Super Ligi’s 166.0 combined-points average. Bursaspor score 76.4 a game and concede 84.2; Fenerbahce score 88.4 and concede 84.2.
Bursaspor sit 15th in the Super Ligi standings, Fenerbahce sit 6th. Tip-off at Tofas Spor Salonu. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Super Ligi 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Fenerbahce by 5.0, total 168.6.
Bursaspor at home: 0–2 SU, 76.4 PPG. Fenerbahce on the road: 2–1 SU, 88.4 PPG.
Fenerbahce lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Bursaspor won 89-83 (OT) on 29 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1 | 4 | 382 | 421 | LLWLL | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 442 | 421 | WLWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

Real Madrid's road wins, Valencia's rebounding edge and a BBL response show how different routes can control a European game.

Round 6 showed three different ways to win, but ball security may travel better than a shooting run when the calendar tightens.