Our model projects Alvark 91, Nagasaki 79, with the Alvark favored in this B.League matchup.
The combined 169.8-point projection runs in line with the B.League’s 168.1 combined-points average. Alvark score 95.4 a game and concede 83.1; Nagasaki score 77.0 and concede 80.3.
Alvark sit 6th in the B.League standings, Nagasaki sit 12th. Tip-off at Toyota Arena Tokyo. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from B.League 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-04. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Alvark by 12.2, total 169.8.
Alvark at home: 5–3 SU, 95.4 PPG. Nagasaki on the road: 2–5 SU, 77.0 PPG.
Alvark lead 4-2 across the last 6 meetings on record. Most recent: Nagasaki won 96-56 on 8 May 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWWLL | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.