Our model projects Adelaide 93, Melbourne United 95, with the Melbourne United favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 188.0-point projection runs in line with the NBL’s 188.7 combined-points average. Adelaide score 91.0 a game and concede 93.7; Melbourne United score 96.5 and concede 90.8.
Adelaide sit 7th in the NBL standings, Melbourne United sit 4th. Tip-off at Adelaide Entertainment Centre. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Adelaide Melbourne UnitedHome and away records are not available yet for this season.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-05. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Melbourne United by 1.2, total 188.0.
Adelaide at home: 1–3 SU, 91.0 PPG.
The last 8 meetings on record are split 4-4. Most recent: Melbourne United won 96-91 on 7 Oct 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AdelaideAdelaide |
5 | 6 | 1001 | 1031 | LWLWW |
| 4 | Melbourne UnitedMelbourne United |
6 | 5 | 1061 | 999 | WWWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Three NBA preseason fixtures share the window with EuroLeague openers, an early NBL test, and a busy Sunday across Spain, Germany, and Italy.
An 18-game weekend moved from New York's three-point avalanche to Sydney's controlled home win, with Atlanta, Adelaide, Bayern, and Las Vegas adding their own answers.