Our model projects South East Melbourne 99, Tasmania JackJumpers 95, with the South East Melbourne favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 194.0-point projection runs above the NBL’s 189.1 combined-points average. South East Melbourne score 97.8 a game and concede 93.9; JackJumpers score 98.8 and concede 93.5.
South East Melbourne sit 5th in the NBL standings, JackJumpers sit 1st. Tip-off at John Cain Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: South East Melbourne by 3.4, total 194.0.
South East Melbourne at home: 3–2 SU, 97.8 PPG. JackJumpers on the road: 2–1 SU, 98.8 PPG.
South East Melbourne lead 5-3 across the last 8 meetings on record. Most recent: Tasmania JackJumpers won 96-91 on 21 Sep 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | 5 | 880 | 845 | WWLLW | |
| 1 | 6 | 2 | 790 | 748 | WWLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

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An 18-game weekend moved from New York's three-point avalanche to Sydney's controlled home win, with Atlanta, Adelaide, Bayern, and Las Vegas adding their own answers.