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Our model projects Tenerife 90, Real Madrid 90, with the Tenerife favored in this Liga ACB matchup.
The combined 179.3-point projection runs in line with the Liga ACB’s 180.6 combined-points average. Tenerife score 89.4 a game and concede 86.5; Real Madrid score 93.4 and concede 85.1.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Liga ACB 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Tenerife by 0.3, total 179.3.
Tenerife at home: 10–7 SU, 89.4 PPG. Real Madrid on the road: 14–2 SU, 93.4 PPG.
Tenerife 1 – 1 Real Madrid across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 18 | 16 | 3040 | 2940 | LLLWL | |
| 1 | 26 | 8 | 3160 | 2906 | LLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

Eight games on Saturday and Sunday close the Liga ACB regular season. Real Madrid lead 26-3 at the top of the table, and the playoff seeding for spots two through eight is still moving.

Across ACB, Lega A, and the BBL, May has turned into a referendum on decision-making. The teams that can keep their spacing intact under pressure are still standing.